and obviously Beth related.... Based on my cursory analysis, I contend that American Pharaoh, Dortmund and Firing line will finish in the top 3 and I am leaning toward AP for the win. American Pharaoh seems to be the favorite but the Derby had solid finishes in Firing Line, Dortmund, Danzig Moon and Divining Rod so we will see however here is my take...and keep in mind I am a novice at this! American Pharaoh--Derby winner, star jockey and top trainer is a formidable combo however the fact that he drew the No 1 post could pose a challenge. However if the forecast is correct and there is rain, American Pharaoh has proven himself on a sloppy track at the Rebel Stakes in March. I don't know much about bloodlines (LOL, I will do more research prior to the Belmont) but his Sire Pioneer of the Nile looks to have an impressive record with 5 wins, 1 place and one show. Firing Line--has one of the best jockeys in the world, Gary Stevens and wasn't far off from upsetting American Pharaoh. Clearly this is a talented horse with an advantageous position at #8. Since the bulk of big horse races are seemingly won by a horse that comes from behind when the leaders are winded, Stevens may be counting on this strategy to win. I find some fault with this in that it assumes the other horses will falter, and given that the Preakness is the shortest of the Triple Crown tracks, this may not be a strategy Stevens can count on. Dortmund--was undefeated coming into the Derby. Dortmund is at the #2 position next to American Pharaoh--this could potentially intimidate Garcia/Dortmund or possibly motivate them, and Dortmund was near the front for the most of the Derby. However given that his Sire is Big Brown with 7 wins including the Derby and Preakness, I suspect he will give AP a run for his money.