Politics CNN Poll: Trump Surges Ahead Of Clinton -Enjoys 1st Convention Bounce Since 2000

Discussion in 'The Howard Stern Show' started by OV, Jul 25, 2016.

  1. OV

    OV Rapscallion

    Reputations:
    3
    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2010
    Messages:
    12,796
    Likes Received:
    35,720
    (CNN)The bounce is back.

    Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

    There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000
    . That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.

    The new findings mark Trump's best showing ina CNN/ORC Pollagainst Clinton since September 2015. Trump's new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump's convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.

    Donald Trump's plan to win the week
    The poll also reflects a sharpening of the education divide among whites that has been prevalent throughout the campaign. Among white voters with college degrees, Clinton actually gained ground compared with pre-convention results, going from an even 40% to 40% split to a 44% to 39% edge over Trump. That while Trump expanded his lead with white voters who do not hold a college degree from a 51% to 31% lead before the convention to a 62% to 23% lead now.

    Beyond boosting his overall support, Trump's favorability rating is also on the rise (46% of registered voters say they have a positive view, up from 39% pre-convention), while his advantage over Clinton on handling top issues climbs. He now holds double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted on the economy and terrorism. Trump also cut into Clinton's edge on managing foreign policy (50% said they trusted her more, down from 57% pre-convention).
    The convention also helped Trump make strides in his personal image. A majority (52%) now say Trump is running for president for the good of the country rather than personal gain, just 44% say the same about Clinton. He's increased the share who call him honest and trustworthy (from 38% to 43%), and who would be proud to have him as president (from 32% to 39%). And nearly half now say he's in touch with the problems ordinary Americans face in their daily lives (46% say so, 37% did before the convention).

    Despite Democratic criticism of the Republican convention's message as divisive, the percentage who say Trump will unite the country rather than divide it has increased to 42%, compared with 34% pre-convention.

    Clinton's ratings on these same measures took a hit, though in most cases her drop-off was not quite as large as Trump's gain. Perhaps most troubling for the Clinton supporters gathering in Philadelphia this week: 68% now say Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, her worst rating on that measure in CNN/ORC polling.

    Those positives for Trump come despite some sharply negative reviews for the convention itself. Almost 6 in 10 (58%) said the Republican convention spent too much time attacking Democrats, and 18% called Trump's speech "terrible," the highest by far since CNN started began the question in 1996. Still, 40% called the speech excellent or good and about half of voters (45%) said Trump's speech reflected the way they feel about things in the U.S. today; 48% said it did not reflect their views.

    The public rendered a split decision on whether the convention made them more or less likely to back Trump, 42% said more likely while 44% said less so, but the shift in voter preferences suggests the "more likely" side carried more weight. And most came away feeling ready to decide about Trump's fitness for the job: 78% say they already know enough to know whether he'd be a good president. Another 20% think they need more information.

    Two prominent convention speakers saw their stock rise post-convention as well. Favorability ratings for Trump's wife, Melania, climbed from 27% pre-convention to 43% post-convention, despite news that her Monday night speech contained passages lifted from Michelle Obama's 2008 Democratic convention speech. Vice Presidential nominee Mike Pence, whose Wednesday speaking slot was largely overshadowed following Ted Cruz's defiant stand on the convention stage, also bolstered the electorate's impression of him, landing at a 39% favorable rating overall, up from 26% pre-convention.

    http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/25/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-poll/index.html
     
  2. Beth143nacho

    Beth143nacho Bede bede beep Gold

    Reputations:
    11,683
    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2012
    Messages:
    22,620
    Likes Received:
    20,585
    Polls won't be relevant for a weeks or two
     
  3. Beth143nacho

    Beth143nacho Bede bede beep Gold

    Reputations:
    11,683
    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2012
    Messages:
    22,620
    Likes Received:
    20,585
    The only thing they'll be accurate on doing is comparing who got the bigger bump
     
  4. Shivvy

    Shivvy Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    69,623
    Joined:
    May 23, 2011
    Messages:
    133,215
    Likes Received:
    58,511
    Can't wait for Dave to spin this
     
  5. johnfreeman1

    johnfreeman1 Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    5
    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2015
    Messages:
    4,268
    Likes Received:
    11,363



    New national anthem selections

    take your pick boys
     
  6. sternadamsapple

    sternadamsapple Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    1,062
    Joined:
    Jan 13, 2014
    Messages:
    772
    Likes Received:
    1,212
    This is an interesting year. The polls will always work to make the election look like a coin flip. The media needs the campaign dollars, so they have to make all the candidates viable and neck and neck. If a candidate looks to have no hope, they will not be able to raise and spend money on ad buys. I am looking forward to seeing how much spend the Trump campaign drives. Hillary is a really horrible candidate, and the more time she spends in the campaign spotlight the more apparent it becomes.
     
    Dream Theater and AmericasJudge like this.
  7. sstressed

    sstressed enhancement toker

    Reputations:
    28,059
    Joined:
    Dec 13, 2011
    Messages:
    45,013
    Likes Received:
    31,118
    [​IMG]
     
    Turtle Man and SouthernListen like this.
  8. sstressed

    sstressed enhancement toker

    Reputations:
    28,059
    Joined:
    Dec 13, 2011
    Messages:
    45,013
    Likes Received:
    31,118
    these polls are way too far out from the election. even the day before the election, they could be full of shit.

    this is going to be a fun few months! the witch is going to age 20 years after trump is done with her. :)
     
  9. Vincenzo69

    Vincenzo69 Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    216
    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2015
    Messages:
    14,837
    Likes Received:
    18,560
    Yes!!!!!!!
     
  10. Jew Manchu

    Jew Manchu Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    1,899
    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2012
    Messages:
    375
    Likes Received:
    1,067
    Every candidate has a popularity bump after their convention. The main thing their handlers have to do is keep them from making any unforced errors in the next 90 days.. Trump needs to stay on an approved script and use a TelePrompTer at future campaign events. Those cheering crowds sometimes goad him into saying some off the wall shit, and the media will certainly run with it. Avoid the liberal interview shows with the gotcha questions. Everyone knows his positions by now, no need to take that risk. He needs to be kept on a tight leash till November. Have Ivanka vet all tweets before hitting the send button. If Trump can land a few well placed cunt punches during the debates I think he has a good chance to win.
     
    sstressed likes this.
  11. sstressed

    sstressed enhancement toker

    Reputations:
    28,059
    Joined:
    Dec 13, 2011
    Messages:
    45,013
    Likes Received:
    31,118
    yeah he really needs to have his tweets vetted. i think the only one who can control him is the lovely ivanka!
     
  12. Santori

    Santori Piece of Shit

    Reputations:
    4,977
    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2016
    Messages:
    1,816
    Likes Received:
    2,314
    68% now say Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, her worst rating on that measure in CNN/ORC polling.

    :lol:
     
  13. Anfkid

    Anfkid Blue Banner Mafia Staff Member

    Reputations:
    70,769
    Joined:
    Feb 18, 2012
    Messages:
    70,410
    Likes Received:
    73,883
  14. Dirty South

    Dirty South Large Member

    Reputations:
    9
    Joined:
    Jul 16, 2012
    Messages:
    24,627
    Likes Received:
    25,058
    Not so sure Clinton will get one considering everything that has transpired and will continue to transpire the next few days...

    Leaks to come!
     
  15. LonghornJ

    LonghornJ VIP Extreme Gold

    Reputations:
    52,637
    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2010
    Messages:
    37,259
    Likes Received:
    31,114
    When is it allowable to point out that every single thing Hillary Clinton gets involved in somehow turns to shit?

    Her marriage, her voting record, her attempt at international diplomacy... she's incompetent at best.
     
    Avery likes this.
  16. June DeMay

    June DeMay Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    5,987
    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2015
    Messages:
    2,795
    Likes Received:
    5,949
    Wait till they factor in the Wikileaks emails.

    The Dems need to get rid of Hillary quick. She's polluting their brand.
     
  17. Rescued Owl

    Rescued Owl VIP Extreme Gold

    Reputations:
    6,469
    Joined:
    Jan 14, 2014
    Messages:
    8,921
    Likes Received:
    26,714
    That dumb fuck will think that there's no story here either.
    :ss:
     
    Wigward and 1Vegasgirl like this.
  18. CrucifiedAGT

    CrucifiedAGT He's Around VIP

    Reputations:
    10,134
    Joined:
    Nov 23, 2013
    Messages:
    12,709
    Likes Received:
    28,430
    Who in the mother fucking hell are the other 32% and how do they have enough brains to support life?
     
  19. Irish Joe

    Irish Joe Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    4,293
    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2015
    Messages:
    1,451
    Likes Received:
    3,355
    Have they tried calling him a nazi yet?
     
    I invented that likes this.
  20. I invented that

    I invented that VIP Extreme Gold POTY Politics

    Reputations:
    48,945
    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    41,655
    Likes Received:
    32,964
    Did you read the thread title?

    There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000.