Politics Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight has Hillary at 50.6 and Trump at 49.3

Discussion in 'The Howard Stern Show' started by MutteringJohn, Sep 26, 2016.

  1. MutteringJohn

    MutteringJohn Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    23,895
    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2012
    Messages:
    15,368
    Likes Received:
    19,799
    The election is essentially a coin flip if it were held today. I think Hillary's ground game is what gets her the win. Trump just doesn't have local offices to squeeze out the vote. If Trump was organized the Presidency would be his to lose. Earlier today Nate Silver had Trump in the lead. Tonight's debate is going to firm these numbers up. I don't think Trump can put Hillary on tilt but you never know. Trump hasn't been this close in his election held today projection since July.

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
     
    beanporn likes this.
  2. BethSucks

    BethSucks Well-Known Member Staff Member

    Reputations:
    71,100
    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2012
    Messages:
    29,889
    Likes Received:
    59,031
  3. cg256

    cg256 Well-Known Member Banned User

    Reputations:
    30,516
    Joined:
    Jul 15, 2013
    Messages:
    7,321
    Likes Received:
    14,596
    I'm kind of pumped it's looking like Colorado might be the deciding factor this year. I can't wait for every ad on the radio and TV be a political one. We've been lucky so far in that all we had to deal with was Johnson ads. Both Clinton and Trump thought it was Clinton's and neither has spent much money or time in Colorado.
     
  4. MutteringJohn

    MutteringJohn Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    23,895
    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2012
    Messages:
    15,368
    Likes Received:
    19,799
    What Trump is doing with no advertising money, no organization and insulting as many people as possible is astounding. If there could somehow be an election of give Obama a third term or elect one of the two candidates Obama would win in a landslide and that's with Obama poor support. This how much the two candidates are hated. Even Goldwater could beat Hillary if he was alive today and running and he got destroyed in the election.
     
  5. yahoo

    yahoo Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    36,142
    Joined:
    Jan 13, 2014
    Messages:
    10,174
    Likes Received:
    18,737
    Trump is the blow-it-all-up-and-I-don't-give-a-shit candidate. It's like people are bored and just want to see what will happen if a reality-show shill is in the Oval Office.

    I think he's got a shot, especially if the press fawns over him for appearing normal tonight.
     
    jrstinkfish likes this.
  6. dawg

    dawg In The Dog House Staff Member

    Reputations:
    97,847
    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2010
    Messages:
    133,934
    Likes Received:
    117,261
    Nate silver has jumped on the click bait bandwagon. He's losing readers in droves. Just look what happened in the primaries.
     
  7. joemama

    joemama Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    7,659
    Joined:
    Jan 16, 2014
    Messages:
    4,118
    Likes Received:
    11,286
    Nate Silver looks like the type of guy who is no stranger to having his head flushed in a toilet from bullies at a younger age.
     
  8. HelloCleveland!

    HelloCleveland! Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    8,952
    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2012
    Messages:
    6,315
    Likes Received:
    7,580
  9. I invented that

    I invented that VIP Extreme Gold

    Reputations:
    60,810
    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    44,185
    Likes Received:
    34,844

    Here's hillary working on her ground game.:backlol:



    [​IMG]
     
  10. the G-man

    the G-man Well-Known Member

    Reputations:
    35,588
    Joined:
    Aug 22, 2015
    Messages:
    7,071
    Likes Received:
    16,551
    It's interesting how both sides tend to think Silver's a genius when he has their candidate up and a hack when he has the other one up.
     
    honestmaxx likes this.