Politics Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight has Hillary at 50.6 and Trump at 49.3

Discussion in 'The Howard Stern Show' started by MutteringJohn, Sep 26, 2016.

  1. MutteringJohn

    MutteringJohn Well-Known Member

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    The election is essentially a coin flip if it were held today. I think Hillary's ground game is what gets her the win. Trump just doesn't have local offices to squeeze out the vote. If Trump was organized the Presidency would be his to lose. Earlier today Nate Silver had Trump in the lead. Tonight's debate is going to firm these numbers up. I don't think Trump can put Hillary on tilt but you never know. Trump hasn't been this close in his election held today projection since July.

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
     
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  2. BethSucks

    BethSucks Well-Known Member Staff Member

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  3. cg256

    cg256 Well-Known Member VIP

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    I'm kind of pumped it's looking like Colorado might be the deciding factor this year. I can't wait for every ad on the radio and TV be a political one. We've been lucky so far in that all we had to deal with was Johnson ads. Both Clinton and Trump thought it was Clinton's and neither has spent much money or time in Colorado.
     
  4. MutteringJohn

    MutteringJohn Well-Known Member

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    What Trump is doing with no advertising money, no organization and insulting as many people as possible is astounding. If there could somehow be an election of give Obama a third term or elect one of the two candidates Obama would win in a landslide and that's with Obama poor support. This how much the two candidates are hated. Even Goldwater could beat Hillary if he was alive today and running and he got destroyed in the election.
     
  5. yahoo

    yahoo Well-Known Member

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    Trump is the blow-it-all-up-and-I-don't-give-a-shit candidate. It's like people are bored and just want to see what will happen if a reality-show shill is in the Oval Office.

    I think he's got a shot, especially if the press fawns over him for appearing normal tonight.
     
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  6. dawg

    dawg In The Dog House Staff Member

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    Nate silver has jumped on the click bait bandwagon. He's losing readers in droves. Just look what happened in the primaries.
     
  7. joemama

    joemama Well-Known Member

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    Nate Silver looks like the type of guy who is no stranger to having his head flushed in a toilet from bullies at a younger age.
     
  8. HelloCleveland!

    HelloCleveland! Well-Known Member

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  9. I invented that

    I invented that VIP Extreme Gold POTY Politics

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    Here's hillary working on her ground game.:backlol:



    [​IMG]
     
  10. the G-man

    the G-man Well-Known Member

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    It's interesting how both sides tend to think Silver's a genius when he has their candidate up and a hack when he has the other one up.
     
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